The Home Office has published a report on whether the type of debut offence predicts future offending. Key points include:
For more info see:
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/261222/horr77.pdf
- Offenders who committed robbery, burglary or vehicle theft as their debut offence were almost three times more likely to be chronic offenders
- Chronic offenders were predominantly male and most likely to have received their first caution/ conviction aged 10 to 17 years
- Offenders who committed robbery, burglary or vehicle theft as their debut offence were also most likely to commit a further serious offence (for example, robbery or a serious violence or sexual offence, see Annex A) within 9 years compared with other offence types
For more info see:
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/261222/horr77.pdf